Reframing “Two-state” Possibilities
TRANSCEND MEMBERS, 29 Jul 2024
Anthony Judge | Laetus in Praesens - TRANSCEND Media Service
Beyond the Constraints of Disciplinary Frameworks in a Two-state Civilization
Introduction
29 Jul 2024 – There is no lack of references over an extensive period to “the” Israel-Palestine “two-state” solution. This has been brought dramatically into global focus through the unprecedented level of violence and destruction in Gaza — now upheld internationally and controversially as an instance of genocide. Examples include:
- Emma Connors and Hans van Leeuwen: The history of the two-state solution (in six maps) (Financial Review, 12 May 2024)
- Raja Khalidi: The Two-State, Two-Economy Solution (Project Syndicate, 22 November 2023 )
- Grant Rumley, et al: The Death and Life of the Two-State Solution: How the Palestinians May Eventually Get Their State (Foreign Affairs, 94, 2015, 4)
Various bodies provide a forum for discussion of the possibility, as with the Geneva Accord Coalition for a Two-State Solution (2021). Less evident is the comprehension of those who claim to support it in some manner, as with the government of Australia, as noted by Matthew Doran:
At its base level, the idea of “a two-state solution” is to formalise those territorial claims and some of the sticking points in the relationship between the two sides here — things like controversial Jewish settlements in Palestinian territory and control over the holy city of Jerusalem. (What does the government mean when it says it supports a two-state solution? ABC News, 10 April 2024)
The level of widely publicized violence in Gaza frames the question explored here, namely whether there is any more fruitful way of approaching a “two-state” solution, as evoked by the following, for example:
- Jon B. Alterman: A Different Two-State Solution (Center for Strategic and International Studies, 10 January 2024)
- Yousef Munayyer Thinking Outside the Two-State Box The New Yorker, 20 September 2013)
- Khaled Elgindy: After Oslo: Rethinking the two-state solution (Brookings, June 2018)
On the other hand there are many reference to the “death” and impossibility of the “two-state” solution — or its catastrophic consequences and miraculous revival — as for example:
- Anthony H. Cordesman: The War in Gaza and the Death of the Two-State Solution (Center for Strategic and International Studies, 11 October 2023)
- Jamie Dettmer: The two-state solution is dead. Why pretend anymore? (POLITICO, 19 January 2024)
- Ian Parmeter: Israel-Palestinian conflict: is the two-state solution now dead? (The Conversation, 29 January 2024)
- Manlio Graziano: The Two-State Solution Is a Recipe for Carnage (Foreign Policy, 5 February 2024)
- Martin Indyk: The Strange Resurrection of the Two-State Solution: how an unimaginable war could bring about the only imaginable peace (Foreign Affairs, March/April 2024)
- Hassan bin Youssef Yassin: The two-state solution for Israel and Palestine is very much alive (Arab News, 22 June 2024)
In such a context it is appropriate to ask how “two state” is understood and evoked — and especially by whom and through what disciplinary lens. Given the apparent incapacity of those disciplines claiming unique relevance to reframing the challenge to civilization of “Israel-Palestine” — in a manner which evokes “new thinking” — it could be asked how “discipline” is then to be understood. Does a discipline simply provide the justification for what its practitioners are entitled to ignore in the execution of their profession? Given the specificity through which they define themselves, can disciplines even “think” in “global” terms — when faced with global crises? Do the disciplines claiming such relevance engage in any root cause analysis of their apparent ineptitude?
Given the frequency with which “two-state” is cited, such considerations evoke the question as to where research on the matter is actively funded and studied — and by what disciplines, with what agendas. What disciplines are ignored by some in the process as being unable to furnish insights of relevance? How is any dialogue on the possibility thereby undermined?
Where is such presumably vital research assembled for critical evaluation and inspiration? In the Bulletin of Peace Proposals? Given its apparent importance as a strategic opportunity, is there any indication that the situation has been the focus of sophisticated simulation to evoke previously unrecognized possibilities — other than the current use of AI for targeting purposes in Gaza? If not, why not? (Simulating the Israel-Palestine Conflict as a Strategy Game, 2023; Envisaging a Game of Subtlety Enabling New Global Dynamics, 2024).
The following exercise in interaction with two AIs (ChatGPT and Claude) is an effort to reframe the understanding of “two-state” from a variety of perspectives beyond those conventionally favoured in the literature — in the quest for insights that may otherwise have been systematically ignored.
The focus follows from earlier consideration of the challenge from the neglected perspective of mathematics (And When the Bombing Stops? Territorial conflict as a challenge to mathematicians, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 61, 1999). This was subsequently followed by consideration, with the aid of ChatGPT, of conventional dependence on “flat earth” thinking — ignoring insights of mathematics and physics (Neglect of Higher Dimensional Solutions to Territorial Conflicts, 2024).
Given the apparent inability of “Western” inspired disciplines to inform mediation of the Gaza situation, it is intriguing to note the current initiative from an “Eastern” perspective (Laurie Chen and Nidal Al-Mughrabi, China brokers Palestinian unity deal, but doubts persist , Reuters, 24 July 2024; Mohamad Zreik, China Mediates a New Era of Palestinian Unity, The Diplomat, 25 July 2024 ). This could be considered consistent with Coherent Reconciliation of Eastern and Western Patterns of Logic (2023) — a study facilitated by AI commentary. Ironically it is of course the case that China is faced with its own “two-state” challenge, as with the Koreas.
The wider perspective on “two-state”evoked in the following, frames the curious question as to whether humanity effectively dwells in a “two-state civilization” — which it has engendered and assiduously cultivates. This would reframe any assertions regarding the “death” of the “two-state solution” and its implications.
As in the previous experiments, the responses of ChatGPT are distinctively presented below in grayed areas, in parallel with those of Claude 3. Given the length of the document to which the exchange gives rise, the form of presentation has itself been treated as an experiment — in anticipation of the future implication of AI into research documents. Web technology now enables the whole document to be held as a single “page” with only the “questions” to AI rendered immediately visible — a facility developed in this case with the assistance of both ChatGPT and Claude 3.
Reservations regarding this method of interaction with AI have been previously highlighted (Eliciting a Pattern that Connects with AI? 2024). These noted questionable styles of response readily characterized as “algorithmic enthusiasm” (or “synthetic appreciation”), together with presumptions of an anthropomorphized relationship by which the questioner is repeatedly flattered. These can be understood as a marketing technique to encourage engagement in the process or as formulaic courtesy deemed appropriate in some cultures. Whilst these could be edited out, as a feature of the experiment they have not been removed; responses have been minimally edited for format alone. The approach allows readers to repeat the questions at a later stage or to other AIs — possibly at a future time when their capacities have been further developed.
Of greater potential concern regarding the use of AI in this context is the questionable role of leading questions in eliciting responses deemed of value — in a period in which the undoubted capacity of AI to aggregate relevant information is now called into question by science (Joe Slater, et al, ChatGPT Isn’t ‘Hallucinating’ — It’s Bullshitting! Scientific American, 17 July 2024). Somewhat ironically such assertions occur in a period in which unprecedented numbers of academic papers are being retracted. In a period in which there is seemingly limited capacity to address global issues effectively, the proactive responses of AI contrast strangely with the dismissive style of academia (Richard Phelps, Dismissive literature reviews reduce understanding – so why do academics keep making them? LSE, 17 June 2024).
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Tags: Israel, Palestine, Solutions
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