Ensuring the Security of Israel

PALESTINE - ISRAEL, 2 Dec 2024

Sakai Tanaka - TRANSCEND Media Service

29 Nov. 2024 — On 27 November 2024, Israel agreed to the ceasefire with Hezbollah. Since Israel has killed most of Hezbollah’s military leaders in attacks since September this year and has destroyed many of its military bases, including its arsenal, it asked the United States and Russia to mediate the ceasefire.（Report: Lebanon Ceasefire To Be Announced, To Begin Wednesday at 3:00 AM EST）

2. Hezbollah will withdraw from the Israeli border to the north bank of the Litani River, and the Lebanese government forces will enter the area instead to maintain the security. The Israeli troops will enter Lebanon to monitor this transition process. The transition process will be completed in two months, and a ceasefire will be established around the time of Trump’s inauguration, and the Israeli troops will withdraw from Lebanon. This is one of “the gifts” from Netanyahu to Trump (giving Trump the credit for ending the war), and for this reason the ceasefire process has begun at this time.（Significant efforts to end fighting in Lebanon underway with both Trump and Biden support）
3. In this war, Israel demonstrated its high intelligence capabilities by locating the Hezbollah military leaders and attacking and killing them one after another. However, since Hezbollah may fire from arsenals that Israel does not know about, Israel is free to abandon the ceasefire and resume the attacks at any time. On November 28, the day after the ceasefire came into effect, the Israeli military immediately broke the ceasefire and attacked southern Lebanon. It can also be said that the ceasefire is just a formality to allow Trump to say, “I have ended the wars around the world that Biden and Obama started.” （Lebanon Accuses Israel Of Already Violating Ceasefire Several Times）and（Dermer to discuss Lebanon ceasefire in US after reported secret Russia visit）
4. Pete Hegseth, who had been appointed as the Secretary of Defense by Trump, stated that “those who love America must also love Israel,” criticized the United Nations and NATO. He declared that he does not value the Geneva Conventions that make humanitarian actions in the war mandatory.  Hegseth’s stance is almost the same as that of Israel’s Likud government. After all, the United States for the next four years from next year will be a “Trump and Likud coalition government.” Hegseth also declared that the US military under the Trump administration will in effect ignore humanity. The US military is the leading force in NATO, yet Hegseth, who leads the US military, criticized NATO. These are also surprising. With the US’s stamp of approval, Israel can commit crimes against humanity as much as it wants. Dependence on the US is dependence on Israel. Japan and Western Europe must extol Israel’s crimes against humanity.（Israeli government sanctions Haaretz, severs all ties）（Trump Pentagon pick attacks UN and Nato and urges US to ignore Geneva conventions）[Nobel laureate Hidankyo co-chair worries about children in Israel and Gaza] and [Israel Ambassador Criticizes Hidankyo Cochair Remarks Comparing Gaza with Post-war Japan; ‘Outrageous and Baseless’]
5. The Israeli settlers and military continue to target and kill the Palestinian citizens for fun. Israel ostentatiously exaggerates and leaks the information about its humanitarian crimes of the massacres and ethnic cleansing in order to anger and embarrass the humanitarian and liberal “international community (the world under British Hegemony)” and has the liberals and the journalists, “the inadvertent British puppets,” spread the word. Those countries that are under the umbrella of the United States, such as Japan and Europe, are obligated to extol Israel.（Israeli snipers ‘shoot Palestinians for sport’）
6. Hezbollah is one of the Shiite militias under Iran. Iran has supported the Syrian government (i.e. the Assad regime) in the Syrian Civil War since 2011, and expanded its sphere of the influence to Syria and Lebanon, becoming a major threat to Israel. Israel (Likud) has now teamed up with Trump, and in return, the Likud faction of the US intelligence community (DS) has forced the US Democratic Party to take the self-destructive measures such as switching the Presidential Candidate to Harris [from Biden], allowing Trump to win the Presidential Election. In return, Israel is free to use the US intelligence and military power to dent the Iranian faction and to erase Palestine.（MAGA Takeover Or Adelson’s Proxy Regime? Highlights From Blumenthal, Beattie At Last Night’s ZH Debate）
7. In the late 1990s, in order to withdraw Israel from the Oslo Accords, the Likud faction entered the US Military-Industrial Complex of the US Intelligence Community, which had been left out in the cold since the end of the Cold War, as a “living space,” and seized the US Hegemony by triggering the 9/11 attacks and the subsequent war on terror. However, there were the hidden multipolar (i.e. Rockefeller) factions among the Likud officials, such as the neoconservatives, who conducted the War on Terrorism in an extreme and immature manner, causing it to fail, accelerating the self-destruction of the US Hegemony that was supposed to protect Israel. The War on Terrorism led to the Arab Spring, and the Syrian Civil War resulted in the Iranian and Russian factions coming close to Israel. （Israeli Cabinet Has Approved A Ceasefire In Lebanon）
8. The War on Terrorism failed, and the Likud was harassed by the British faction (liberals, Israel Labor Party and US Democratic Party), which was the traditional mainstream faction in running the Hegemony, even in the Israeli domestic politics, and Netanyahu continued to run the Israeli government on the edge. Then, Donald Trump appeared. The Likud faction was initially wary of Trump (the US neoconservatives are anti-Trump). Even when Trump tried to get close to them, they treated him coldly, and in 2020 they acquiesced to the US Democratic Party committing election fraud to knock Trump out. However, the US Hegemony is self-destructing due to the hidden multipolar strategies such as COVID-19, the global warming countermeasures, and the Ukraine War. Last year, the non-US BRICS expanded, and the US Hegemony has significantly begun to collapse. The trend of the world shifting to the multipolar type was confirmed. The Likud faction changed its direction to actively join the multipolar faction and Trump.  In return, it was able to erase the Palestinian State that was forced on it by the British faction, destroy the Labor Party faction in Israel, and dent the Iranian faction such as Hezbollah.（Lebanon, Hezbollah Agree To US-Proposed Ceasefire With Israel After Especially Bloody 24 Hours）
9. Israel, which can fully utilize the intelligence of the United States, continues to accurately destroy Iranian military bases. Iran and Syria (Assad regime) have lost the will to counterattack Israel. Rather than fighting, it would be better to accept the Iranian withdrawal from the surrounding areas that Israel wants and enter into a cold peace relationship. Iran and Syria think so (it is assumed). The ceasefire in Lebanon may work out better than expected. If Iran is patient about reducing its sphere of influence, Trump has suggested that he may revive the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) that he once killed and restore the US-Iran relations. （Talks on Iran Nuclear Deal to resume soon, Iranian foreign minister says）
10. Israel has taken the Golan Heights from Syria and has continued to occupy the Hights. Israel had previously been in the position of eventually negotiating with Syria to return the Golan Heights, but this time it has changed its stance and decided not to return the Golan Heights. The recent construction of the separation wall between the Golan Heights and the Syrian mainland suggests this shift. Israel is more aggressive than before. （Is Israel expanding territorial control toward Syria?）and（Separation or provocation? Israel resurrects the ‘Golan Wall’ project）
11. According to Seymour Hersh, Israel will declare the annexation of the West Bank to Israel itself by the end of this year before Trump takes office, and will accelerate the expulsion of Palestinians from the West Bank to Jordan. Along with Gaza, where Israel has already made considerable progress in ethnic cleansing, Israel will eliminate Palestine. （Israel to annex West Bank – Seymour Hersh）
12. The elimination of Palestine and the expulsion of the Iranian-affiliated groups from its surrounding areas (i.e. Lebanon and Syria) have been carried out since the last fall as the necessary measure for Israel to ensure its national security in the future Middle East, where the US Hegemony will be substantially lost. As Israel has been implementing these measures and relevant things have become more or less clear (after Israel has finished committing crimes against humanity), the “International Community” has recently taken action, and the ICC (International Criminal Court) has indicted Netanyahu and others for the crimes against humanity and issued the arrest warrants.（ICC warrants are binding, EU cannot pick and choose: Borrell）
13. The media (i.e. the British puppets) have been spreading the word that Israel’s credibility in the “International Community” has been lost. However, in reality, it was the “International Community” and the Liberal World under the Anglo-American Hegemony that have lost their credibility. Israel has given up on the International Community and the Liberal World quite some time ago. The UK was the only country in the world, which said it would arrest Netanyahu and others if they came to their country in accordance with the ICC arrest warrants. The Biden administration, a passive Likud-affiliated puppet, has rejected the ICC arrest warrants, and the US puppets Germany and France have also stated that they will not arrest Netanyahu. （London confirms Netanyahu faces arrest in UK, Germany defies ICC warrants citing ‘Nazi history’）
14. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban, who, among the EU members, has been a vocal supporter of Trump and dislikes the Liberals and British people, even deliberately defied the ICC arrest warrants and invited Netanyahu to his country. In the first place, the ICC arrest warrants, which were issued at this timing when it is too late to stop Israel’s humanitarian crimes, is suspected to have been ordered by the Likud and the hidden multipolar factions to expose the collapse of the International Community and the British, not to punish Israel. Actually, the guilty verdicts of the ICC against Netanyahu and others had already been issued in May of this year.（Viktor Orban Invites Netanyahu To Visit Hungary, Flouting ICC Arrest Warrant）
15. In this situation, Turkey’s Erdogan is showing his own unique good taste. He recently took in the Hamas executives who were expelled from Qatar and let them live in his country. The upper echelons of the Arab countries such as Qatar and Saudi Arabia have seen that Trump, who has integrated with the Likud, has taken control of the United States, and are much less willing to confront Israel. The Arab upper echelons’ support for Palestine has become mere lip service, and Hamas has been abandoned. Turkey has picked up Hamas. This means that Erdogan has placed his country in the position of the conflict with Israel. Turkey will continue to play the enemy of Israel, criticizing Israel on the surface, while maintaining the trade relations with Israel and providing the economic relief to Israel behind the scenes, and is trying to get the most it can in the international and domestic politics and economics. （Turkey Accused Of Hosting Hamas Political Office After Relocated From Qatar）and（Is Turkey’s big break with Israel for real?）
16. Erdogan has a strong tendency to be hostile towards Europe (i.e. the West), but he has not quit NATO, the embodiment of the West, and is instead destroying NATO from within. Hegseth, a Likud ally who Trump appointed as the Secretary of Defense, is hostile towards Erdogan. Hegseth says that NATO is no good because Turkey is a member. Erdogan and Hegseth, two NATO haters, continue to fight within NATO, and are plotting to further render NATO dysfunctional and destroy it from within.（On Middle East, will Trump follow his instincts or hawkish advisors?）
17. In the Syrian Civil War, Erdogan has supported the rebel forces of the Al-Qaeda-IS terrorist organization created by the US Intelligence Community (i.e. the US Military-Industrial Complex and the Likud faction). As the Assad regime, supported by the Iranian-affiliated groups such as Hezbollah and Russia, won, IS-Qaeda and Turkey became losers, and IS-Qaeda was pushed into Idlib in northern Syria near the Turkish border. However, on 28 November 2024, just after Israel had destroyed Hezbollah’s military bases in Lebanon and Syria with their air strikes and the ceasefire came into effect on 27 November 2024, the Turkish-affiliated IS Qaeda invaded the area around Aleppo from Idlib and launched a counterattack against the Syrian government forces. Taking advantage of Israel’s defeat of Hezbollah and the weakening of the Syrian government forces, Turkey launched a counterattack and began to reignite the Syrian Civil War.（The Terrorist Offensive In Aleppo Is Meant To Deliver A Coup De Grace To Syria）
18. The Turkish authorities say that Turkey’s counterattack against IS Qaeda is defensive and limited, and is not the reignition of the Civil War. It is unclear whether this is really the case. If Aleppo falls, Damascus will be the next. There is a concern that the Assad regime, whose defenses have been weakened by Israel, will be toppled. Even if the Assad regime falls, if Syria is transferred from Iran to Turkey, it will not be a big problem for Israel, so the United States will tolerate it. The security of Israel is improving, but the situation in the Middle East is still fluid. （Turkey says Syrian rebel assault near Aleppo is a ‘limited operation’）

Notes:

1. The hyperlinks with the parentheses ( ) at the end of some paragraphs were added by the original author. Those hyperlinks in the paragraphs and those with brackets [ ], with the italic letters at the end of some paragraphs, were added by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
2. The paragraph number was added to the head of each paragraph (except to that of the first paragraph) by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
3. The views and/or opinions in those hyperlinks added by the translator do not necessarily reflect those of his. In addition, it is either impossible or unavailable for the translator to verify the genuineness of the information in those links. He does not take any responsibility for the contents in those relevant links at all.
4. The views and/or opinions expressed in the above-mentioned article are those of Sakai Tanaka, who is the original author. His views and/or opinions do not necessarily reflect those of TMS or those of the translator. Therefore, the reader is kindly requested to understand, interpret or judge those views and/or opinions at his or her own responsibility.

_______________________________________

After graduating from university, Sakai Tanaka started working at the Kyodo News  Agency in 1986. From 1997 he joined Microsoft Network (MSN) and in 1999, due to change of policy at Microsoft, he became an independent journalist. Tanaka has published more than twenty books on international affairs, some translated and published in China, South Korea and Taiwan. He studied at Harvard University from 2000 to 2001 and in 2005 was invited to serve as a senior researcher at the Royal Faisal Institute in Saudi Arabia. Website: tanakanews.com

Satoshi Ashikaga is a member of the TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment. Having worked as researcher, development program/project officer, legal protection/humanitarian assistance officer, human rights monitor-negotiator, managing-editor, and more, he prefers a peaceful and prudent life.  His previous work experiences, including those in war zones and war-torn zones, constantly remind him of the invaluableness of peace.

Translation: Satoshi Ashikaga – Google Translate

Original in Japanese: イスラエルの安全確保

Join the BDS-BOYCOTT, DIVESTMENT, SANCTIONS campaign to protest the Israeli barbaric siege of Gaza, illegal occupation of the Palestine nation’s territory, the apartheid wall, its inhuman and degrading treatment of the Palestinian people, and the more than 7,000 Palestinian men, women, elderly and children arbitrarily locked up in Israeli prisons.

DON’T BUY PRODUCTS WHOSE BARCODE STARTS WITH 729, which indicates that it is produced in Israel. DO YOUR PART! MAKE A DIFFERENCE!

7 2 9: BOYCOTT FOR JUSTICE!

This article originally appeared on Transcend Media Service (TMS) on 2 Dec 2024.

Anticopyright: Editorials and articles originated on TMS may be freely reprinted, disseminated, translated and used as background material, provided an acknowledgement and link to the source, TMS: Ensuring the Security of Israel, is included. Thank you.

If you enjoyed this article, please donate to TMS to join the growing list of TMS Supporters.

Share this article: email mastodon facebook 🔗 copy link

This work is licensed under a CC BY-NC 4.0 License.

There are no comments so far.